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E.2 in Appendix E of the SM present, respectively, the assault effect and protection effect for one of the best 4 groups and worst 4 teams of the BFL within the 20–38 rounds. Table 13 reveals the possibilities of the six teams with smallest estimated number of factors to be relegated to the second division. Three rounds earlier than the ending of the champion, the tactic indicates the Joinvile, Goiás and Vasco as groups relegated to the second division with a likelihood greater than 0.90. In the last round, the tactic indicates Avaí and Figueirense with probabilities zero.421 and 0.711 to be relegated. Table 12 shows the possibilities for the seven groups with the very best estimated number of factors to classify for the 2016 Copa Libertadores of América. Eight rounds earlier than the ending of the BFL, the likelihood of the Corinthians and Atlético-MG to classify for the 2016 Copa Libertadores of América is larger than zero.990. Three rounds earlier than the ending of the champion, the method indicates the Corinthians, Atlético-MG and Grêmio as teams classified 2016 Copa Libertadores of América.
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